Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 392.574737 449.778843 514.659483 594.156345 689.561522 801.162081 942.742263
2024-12-22 302.809367 373.702648 462.098630 582.160552 743.725125 957.685232 1269.548596
2024-12-29 258.823584 334.994602 436.016213 583.089585 797.483623 1108.222786 1611.747428
2025-01-05 223.964585 300.360849 406.514241 569.583957 822.888744 1218.183547 1919.074939
2025-01-12 200.672376 277.363253 388.268339 566.823297 860.381497 1350.616744 2297.322329
2025-01-19 175.727325 248.437097 356.806125 537.678037 848.542213 1396.586935 2532.028719
2025-01-26 167.809039 243.580439 360.589837 564.461508 934.269060 1631.622577 3212.488906
2025-02-02 162.687992 242.180677 369.209891 600.069718 1042.034045 1934.989442 4162.219905
2025-02-09 151.963224 230.584968 359.549172 601.706614 1085.433529 2118.684921 4909.389229
2025-02-16 139.720311 215.260021 341.787428 585.732423 1090.332281 2219.485152 5485.139990
2025-02-23 129.587589 202.518620 327.107180 573.430344 1100.362789 2334.438882 6157.438275
2025-03-02 125.049247 198.853881 328.014695 591.451990 1179.272151 2638.514626 7587.276111
2025-03-09 118.357102 191.086030 321.085196 593.648939 1225.339745 2879.557608 8991.990541
2025-03-16 110.386099 180.422446 307.786779 580.960198 1234.397092 3024.928973 10156.159871
2025-03-23 104.885992 173.739847 301.334133 581.934061 1277.214613 3282.967772 12003.090040
2025-03-30 98.294329 164.525466 289.081059 568.458632 1280.456072 3421.973559 13439.877265
2025-04-06 93.460422 158.220086 281.987363 565.704968 1311.786686 3664.430059 15651.038432
2025-04-13 86.376552 147.173544 264.439657 536.630905 1265.503673 3628.483987 16302.128950
2025-04-20 85.300326 147.536477 270.181841 563.348972 1383.026499 4224.845950 21555.816222
2025-04-27 84.967955 149.298534 278.980938 598.869040 1536.239112 5038.643155 29872.030521
2025-05-04 81.719278 145.035508 274.534003 600.501853 1585.421423 5454.088612 35933.766284
2025-05-11 77.302395 138.137978 263.802828 584.567393 1574.663362 5603.461634 39884.532799
2025-05-18 73.489545 132.242609 254.841014 572.295733 1574.045576 5803.984542 44912.729399